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01/28/2012 - Fort Collins, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The last of the unbeatens in the Mountain West Conference, the 13th-ranked San Diego State Aztecs hit the road this afternoon to challenge the Colorado State Rams at Moby Arena in Fort Collins.
Not only are the Aztecs all alone atop the MWC standings with a record of 4-0, they are also riding high on an 11-game win streak overall thanks to a 52-42 victory over Wyoming in Laramie earlier this week. The scoring total was the lowest of the season for the Aztecs and marked the second straight game in which they were held to under 60 points, only the third time this season it has happened. Nevertheless, having lost only to nationally-ranked teams in Baylor and Creighton, SDSU is certainly making a name for itself.
As for the Rams, a program that is an impressive 9-1 at home this season, they were pummeled by New Mexico in The Pit three nights ago in an 85-52 final. The loss was the second in a row for the team, the third time this season CSU has bowed in back-to-back outings. At 2-2 in conference play, the Rams enter the weekend tied with UNM, TCU and Wyoming for third place in the standings.
In a series that dates back more than 50 years, Colorado State owns a 35-31 advantage over the Aztecs entering this game. However, since 2006 the Rams have won just once, the other 14 decisions going to SDSU, including nine in a row.
It wasn't an exciting back-and-forth game against Wyoming earlier this week, but in the end a win is a win and that's what the Aztecs play for when they hit the floor. Jamaal Franklin and Chase Tapley both tallied 12 points for the visitors, the former also grabbing a team-best 11 rebounds, but at the same time Franklin also was tabbed for seven turnovers without benefit of a single assist. The team as a whole was guilty of 19 miscues which is unlike them. Through 20 games San Diego State is turning the ball over just under 13 times per game and generally the team is able to offset such issues with a stout defense that has held opponents to only 38.4 percent shooting from the floor and 60.7 ppg. Tapley (16.4 ppg) and Jamaal Franklin (15.2 ppg) tend to get most of the attention, but Xavier Thames (11.1 ppg) is one of the reasons why, having given out a team-best 85 assists to drive the offense.
The Rams could do little to stop the stampede brought on by New Mexico on Wednesday night, the Lobos not only shooting 52.2 percent from the floor themselves, but at the same time holding CSU to just 16 field goals and forcing 20 turnovers in the matchup. Nevertheless, the Rams still had four starters score in double figures as Will Bell, Dorian Green and Wes Eikmeier all tallied 11 points, followed by Pierce Hornung who dropped in 10 points, cleared seven rebounds and made four steals in the lopsided loss. Eikmeier continues to be the leading scorer for the program with his 15.6 ppg, while Green and Smith follow at 13.5 and 10.6 ppg, respectively. But perhaps the key figure on offense for the Rams might be Hornung who has started just four of the 13 games in which he has appeared, yet leads the group with 7.2 rpg and is shooting a ridiculous 71.9 percent from the field as well.
<< Sooners set sights on Wildcats in Big 12 affair
Manhattan, KS (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Oklahoma Sooners will play their second
straight ranked opponent, as they invade Manhattan this afternoon for a Big 12
showdown with the 22nd-ranked Kansas State Wildcats.
Lon Kruger's Sooners are in the
<< Top-25 foes collide in SEC showdown
Gainesville, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A top-25 matchup is on tap in the SEC, as
the 14th-ranked Florida Gators welcome the 18th-ranked Mississippi State
Bulldogs to Gainesville.
Billy Donovan's Gators enter this contest with a four-game win str
<< An SEC catfight pits Wildcats against Tigers
Baton Rouge, LA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The top-ranked Kentucky Wildcats close out
a two-game road trip this afternoon, invading Baton Rouge for an SEC showdown
with the LSU Tigers at the Pete Maravich Assembly Center.
John Calipari's Wildcats ha
<< Kansas heads to Ames for Big 12 clash with Iowa State
Ames, IA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Winners of 10 straight, the seventh-ranked Kansas
Jayhawks continue their run through the Big 12, as the take on the Iowa State
Cyclones at Hilton Coliseum this afternoon.
Bill Self's Jayhawks haven't lost since a
No. 12 UNLV comes calling on Air Force >>
USAFA, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Closing in on the 20-win plateau, the 12th-ranked
UNLV Runnin' Rebels take their act on the road tonight as they clash with the
Air Force Falcons in Mountain West Conference action at Clune Arena.
Since losing to
No.3 Orange take on Mountaineers at Carrier Dome >>
Syracuse, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The third-ranked Syracuse Orange return home
to defend their top spot in the conference standings, as they welcome in the
West Virginia Mountaineers for a Big East showdown at the Carrier Dome.
Jim Boeheim's O
Blue Devils and Red Storm collide in Durham >>
Durham, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - For the 14th straight season, the Duke Blue
Devils and St. John's Red Storm will take time out of their conference slates
to meet on the hardwood.
The eighth-ranked Blue Devils are 5-1 in ACC play this season. T
Sixth-ranked Bears welcome Longhorns to Waco >>
Waco, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The sixth-ranked Baylor Bears continue their quest
towards the top spot in the Big 12, as they welcome the Texas Longhorns to
Waco for a conference showdown at the Ferrell Center.
Scott Drew's Bears are 5-2 in-con
Elite 8 NCAA Tournament Betting at online sportsbook MySportsbook.com
In what should be an outstanding Saturday of March Madness betting action, the top four teams in the South and West Regions square off in what should be extremely close match-ups. Three of the four teams are coming off extremely close games on Thursday evening, only UCLA won semi comfortably over Pitt 64-55.
Ohio State is coming off their second game in a row where in all reality they should have lost. Of course that doesn’t matter now since the name of the game is “survive and advance” but as the tournament continues, they can’t afford to keep getting down to their opponents early. Kansas also avoided a scare by holding off a scrappy Southern Illinois squad. In the third thrilling game of the evening Memphis pulled off the minor upset (+3.5) despite being the higher seed to Texas A&M.
Although the spreads are fairly small for Saturday’s games, MySportsbook.com continue to bet against the underdogs. Despite OSU’s two scares, 86% of the “betting public” feels the Buckeyes (-1.5) have what it takes to make the Final Four. In fact, so much of the early money is on OSU that the line has already moved from -1 to -1.5. In the second game of the doubleheader, Kansas and their high-powered offense are 2 point favorites as they take on UCLA and their effective defense. About 63% of the early money thus far is once again backing the favorites. If those percentages stay that high, don’t be surprised if this line moves as well. If you like Kansas (-2) you might want to jump on it early.
Memphis vs. Ohio State
Both squads were involved in thrillers on Thursday evening and should come out fired up. OSU can ill afford to get behind early like they did versus their previous two opponents (Xavier, Tennessee). Greg Oden needs to stay out of foul trouble; the Buckeyes are a completely different team when he is on the court. Memphis definitely has the athleticism and length to match-up with OSU. Of Memphis’ five leading minute earners, the shortest of the bunch is 6’5”. Each team has a very effective defense; Memphis surrenders 62.3 PPG whereas the Buckeyes give up only 61 PPG. With those type of numbers, it isn’t surprising that Memphis covered the UNDER almost 69% of the time this season. As a favorite, OSU has covered the UNDER almost 66% of the time over the last three seasons. The major concern for Memphis which is magnifies this time of the year is their brutal foul shooting (62%). This season, OSU is 17-11 ATS versus teams with a winning record and 7-2 ATS in all tournament games. Memphis has been an extremely reliable cover in tournament play in recent years with a 23-8 ATS record over the last three seasons.
UCLA vs. Kansas
In the second game of Saturday’s doubleheader, UCLA will play in a role which they are very unfamiliar with that of the underdog. Only twice this season have they been getting points from the handicappers and both times they covered. Over the last three seasons UCLA is a reliable 23-7 ATS in this unfamiliar role. UCLA has not fared well against Big 12 opponents recently going 1-7 ATS since 1997. Giving up only 59.6 PPG, UCLA will definitely look to do what they do best: keep this game as low scoring as possible. Their defense has been especially tough during the tournament. UCLA opponents have been able to muster up only 48.7 PPG while shooting a combined 34.5% from the field. UCLA definitely has a challenge at hand with a Kansas team that is capable of putting points on the board in bunches. As a team, they average 79 PPG and shoot an impressive 49.6% from the field and 39.4% from beyond the arc. During the tournament Kansas has been “lights out” from the field having shot 56.2%.
With Friday -105 juice on Basketball betting, MySportsbook.com is the place to bet on all of the “March Madness” action. Don’t forget to monitor who the public is backing at MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”. By doing so, you have the best chance of predicting a possible line change, thus getting the best value for your wager.
To bet on March Madness games this online sportsbook accepts credit cards
Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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